Tuesday, February 22, 2022
Will artificial intelligence help us find evidence of UFOs? - By Tim Smith in Barcelona 21 February 2022
Deeptech/Artificial Intelligence/Analysis/
Will artificial intelligence help us find evidence of UFOs?
Top tech founders and research scientists are now taking UFOs seriously
By Tim Smith in Barcelona 21 February 2022
“Are we alone in the universe?” is one of humanity’s biggest questions. But now,
some of the world’s top scientists and tech companies are setting out to answer
an even bigger question: “Are we being visited?”
This used to be seen as a silly topic for debate, confined to conspiratorial
subreddits filled with stories of reptilian alien overlords covertly living among
us. But things are starting to change.
Last year, not only did US president Biden approve a new US government office
to study the nature of unidentified flying objects, but a distinguished academic,
Professor Avi Loeb — the longest serving chair of Harvard’s Department of
Astronomy — launched The Galileo Project, a search for UFOs.
And one difference this time is that artificial intelligence is being drafted into the
search. Tel Aviv-founded AI startup Timbr, for example, has offered its
technology — which allows users to interact with complex databases using simple
queries — to the project.
If ET’s out there, AI may finally allow us to spot them.
Is this really serious?
Well, serious people from the US government have certainly started to take
UFOs a lot more seriously recently. In May last year, Barack Obama admitted
that there really are objects moving in our skies that can’t be easily explained
away: “There’s footage and records of objects in the skies, that we don’t know
exactly what they are, we can’t explain how they moved, their trajectory… They
did not have an easily explainable pattern.”
A month later, the US government released a report confirming that US military
personnel have encountered things in the sky that appeared to be real, physical
objects that display “advanced technology”.
Christopher Mellon, a former senior US defence official, commented that not
only are UFOs a national security threat, but that they are unlikely to represent
advanced Chinese, Russian or US technology. “That leaves you wondering then
what hypothesis best fits the facts and frankly the alien hypothesis fits the facts,”
he said.
By the end of 2021, President Biden signed off on a new US government office
that will try to analyse the nature of what these UFOs really are, with national
security in mind.
The devil is in the data
It is not just the government getting in on the action. The Galileo Project
describes itself as a privately funded initiative promising to “bring the search for
extraterrestrial technological signatures of Extraterrestrial Technological
Civilisations from accidental or anecdotal observations and legends into the
mainstream of transparent, validated and systematic scientific research”.
Unlike the long-running Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence (SETI)
Institute, which uses antennae to search for radio signals from possible alien
neighbours, The Galileo Project is looking for physical objects.
Loeb plans to build 100 specialised telescopes equipped with wide angle lenses,
infrared technology, radio receivers and an audio system. This data will be
combined with satellite imagery, to create a more comprehensive and high-
resolution picture of our skies than we’ve ever seen before, from above and
below.
And part of the secret of doing this will be an AI system that can make sense of
the gargantuan amount of data generated by 100 multi-sensor telescopes
recording pictures of the sky 24/7.
“We will have an artificial intelligence system that will identify whether we are
looking at a bird, a drone, an aeroplane or something else,” Loeb tells Sifted.
How will AI know how to identify aliens?
Tzvi Weitzner, the Tel Aviv-based Timbr’s cofounder and chief strategy officer,
says that the project presents a unique challenge for a machine learning
algorithm.
“The use of AI to analyse images is widely known, but in Galileo’s case it is not
as simple as training a machine learning algorithm to identify objects, just
because we don’t know what we are looking for, or, more exactly, we are looking
for objects that are not part of an existing image catalogue that would serve to
train a machine learning algorithm,” he tells Sifted.
Using Timbr’s system, data scientists working with the Galileo Project will be
able to systematically refine the algorithm’s understanding of objects that are
truly mysterious.
“I expect that the algorithms used to analyse images shall generate a continuous
flow of unexplained objects, described with a set of data from the observations,
which will require classification by characteristics (size, shape, colour, location,
time, source, etc),” says Weitzner. “Data scientists will be able to easily discover
and select the data required to create and train new machine learning algorithms
that will further reduce false positives and eventually deliver a ‘clean’ list of
observations that cannot be explained as known objects.”
Weitzner also stresses that his comments don’t reflect the position of Loeb or
The Galileo Project, as these workflows are yet to be finalised.
A big tent
The Timbr cofounder thinks that investigating the UFO phenomenon is
important, even if he doesn’t personally believe in extraterrestrial explanations
for sightings.
“I have always disregarded these kinds of observations (UFO sightings), as
errors or, you know, bad data,” he says. “What we can do — and it is very
important — is try to explain what we have observed, and to try to not just
disregard what we cannot explain.”
Having sceptics like Weitzner on board with The Galileo Project is important to
Loeb, who says he is trying to let the evidence do the talking, rather than be
dragged into polemic.
“I have built a big tent, including people that are both advocates for
extraterrestrial origins of these objects, and people that are sceptics. I think that
it doesn’t matter what you believe in to start with, it’s the evidence that will
guide us,” he says. “The way to move forward is to collect evidence, to collect
data, the way that the scientific method advocates and not have prejudice.”
Alongside big names from the worlds of academia and astrophysics, The Galileo
Project is also affiliated with data analytics startup ThoughtAI, tech investor
Yoav Kfir from Israel-based VAR Management, and Google software engineer
Uriel Perez.
But despite increasing support from the private sector, Loeb believes that dogma
within the scientific world is holding this research back.
Ridicule
Despite including renowned critics of the alien hypothesis in The Galileo
Project’s team, and focusing on a strictly evidence-based approach, the Harvard
astrophysicist has received personal attacks for his interest in investigating
UFOs.
“[Some scientists] were attacking me on social media in ways that are very
personal. And that was really unfortunate,” Loeb says. “People are ignoring the
scientific method. It’s similar to the way philosophers behaved in the days of
Galileo. They refused to look through Galileo’s telescope, they didn’t look at the
data. They said, ‘We know that the sun moves around the Earth’, and they put
Galileo under house arrest. Today, they would have cancelled him on social
media.”
He believes that the reason for the mainstream dismissal of UFO research is very
similar to why people were so offended by Galileo’s ideas that the universe didn’t
revolve around the Earth: human exceptionalism. If we are to accept that some
other intelligence might have visited us, we have to accept that we might not be
the most advanced civilisation out there.
“I think it has to do primarily with the ego of people. We don’t want to hear
about the reality where we are not the smartest,” says Loeb.
But flying in the face of such a stigmatised field of research, he believes he’s
paving the ground for more mainstream scientists to be open about their
curiosity: “Some scientists came to me and said, ‘We didn’t have this safe space.
We were waiting for it so that we can work on the subject.’”
Weitzner is one of those who appreciates the rigorous, evidence-based approach
that Loeb is bringing to the study of UFOs, seemingly unconcerned about
receiving ridicule for having Timbr’s name attached to the project.
“The scientific community at large may view Galileo as a fringe thing, but this
reflects obtuseness… I think that Avi is a really fearless scientist that is willing to
go where a few other scientists dare to go,” he says. “I think that it is rather cool
that Timbr can somehow help in this endeavour.”
Why now?
Loeb is in a rare position in academia: he has the scientific pedigree to be taken
seriously, and has achieved enough in his career to not need to worry about his
reputation.
“When I was in the military at a young age they said, ‘You have to put your body
on the barbed wire so that other soldiers could pass through,’” he says. “This is
a subject that will have a huge impact on humanity. And as a result, I feel that
it’s worth putting my body on the barbed wire, so to speak.”
The Galileo Project’s search for evidence has partly come about as a result of
credible UFO sightings in recent years. The most famous is the so-called
“TicTac” incident, where top gun pilots David Fravor and Alex Dietrich testified
to having encountered a flying, “TicTac-shaped” object that completely
outmanoeuvred their fighter jets, with the incident corroborated by radar.
ufos tic tac david fravor
Stories like this, where the typical explanations of hallucination don’t seem to fit,
are piquing the public interest. A report from Gallup in 2021 showed that four in
ten Americans now believe that UFOs are explained by aliens, up from just over
three in ten in 2019.
Loeb’s interest in the topic began after he analysed a large and mysterious
interstellar object passing near Earth in 2017 (now known as Oumuamua), and
deduced that it was very unlikely to be of natural origin.
As well as building ground equipment, The Galileo Project is also working on
developing a probe with a camera attached. This will be launched into space the
next time such an object is spotted in the distance from a telescope, to try and get
a clear photo from closer up.
Not so out-of-this world
Getting a clear image is crucial, says Loeb, batting away the question of why it is
that, when billions of people in the world own mobile phone cameras, no one has
yet captured a decent image of a UFO.
“A million low resolution images are not worth as much as one high resolution
image,” he argues. “You can increase the number of cell phones by a factor of
100 — it doesn’t matter — all those images would be taken by an aperture that is
only a few millimetres in size and as a result the resolution would be poor and
the images would appear fuzzy.”
And what about the argument that, if aliens exist and are able to visit us, why
haven’t they made themselves known or tried to communicate with us?
“Think of how we communicate with ants on the pavement. Are we going to the
ants and trying to understand their psychology and trying to communicate? If
you operate on a completely different level, there is no communication. So the
ants might be frustrated that humans are not stopping in the street and coming
to speak with them. They might see some footsteps above them, but I don’t know
if they figure out what’s going on,” he responds.
He also disregards the point that aliens travelling between star systems seems
implausible, as our current understanding of physics dictates that light-speed
travel is impossible.
“It [another intelligence] may be using technologies that are way different than
what we anticipate,” he says.
The Galileo Project has received enough funding to build its first telescope,
which will be placed on the roof of the Harvard astronomy department (Loeb
hopes by April), but still needs more donations to build more telescopes. Loeb
says that if people are hoping to donate more than $50k, they should contact him
directly.
Ultimately, he believes the research is less speculative than many areas of
scientific study that routinely attract billions of dollars in public funding — such
as the search for dark matter — given that it’s estimated there are some 6bn
earth-like planets in the Milky Way galaxy alone.
“What is so speculative about saying, ‘Let’s imagine something like us, or more
advanced than us,’? Because half of the sun-like stars have a planet the size of
the Earth, roughly the same separation (between star and planet), so you roll the
dice about intelligent technological civilisations billions of times in the Milky
Way galaxy alone, most of the stars formed a billion years before us, and they
could have sent equipment into space, just like we did. I don’t see that as
speculative, I think it’s much more down to earth than most of the ideas in
theoretical physics right now.”
Tim Smith is Sifted’s Iberia correspondent. He tweets from @timmpsmith
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